Researchers predict that in coming year, threat actors will go to new lengths to carry out devastating attacks.
Kaspersky Lab is releasing its targeted threat predictions for 2019, in which company researchers forecast that the year ahead will see the APT world split into two groups: energetic and inexperienced newcomers; and the traditional, well-resourced and most advanced threat actors. The latter group will continue to pose a significant challenge for businesses, as experienced threat actors explore new and increasingly sophisticated techniques that are more difficult to discover and attribute.
The following targeted threat predictions have been developed by Kaspersky Lab’s Global Research and Analysis Team (GReAT), based on their research and insights gained over the last year. These predictions, along with additional threat predictions relating to specific technologies and industry verticals, will help some of the most connected sectors understand and prepare for the security challenges that they could face over the coming year.
While the cybersecurity industry has consistently discovered highly sophisticated government-sponsored operations, threat actors will now go underground and stay below the radar to avoid publicity and reduce the likelihood of being exposed. With enough resources, they will be able to diversify their toolkits and practices, making detection and attribution extremely difficult.
It is likely that this new approach will lead to the deployment of specialized tools used for targeting victims at their very core – by compromising networking hardware. This new strategy will allow threat actors to focus their activities on discreet botnet-style compromise or to perform sneakier attacks on the selected targets.
“In 2018, threat actors were led to new paradigms; public awareness has grown, and expert investigations have highlighted big cyber-operations, making the topic front page news across the world,” said Vicente Diaz, security researcher at Kaspersky Lab. “This will now lead to a change in the cyber-landscape, as sophisticated threat actors seek silence and obscurity for their attacks in order to increase the likelihood of success. This shift makes the finding of new, large-scale, sophisticated operations very unlikely, and will definitely take the art of detection and attribution to the next level.”
These predictions have been developed with the help of Kaspersky Lab threat intelligence services from around the world. The company was recently cited as a ‘Strong Performer’ by independent research firm Forrester, in its evaluation of threat intelligence providers.
Kaspersky Lab is a global cybersecurity company, which has been operating in the market for over 20 years.